May 15, 2008

See Ya Republicans

kkk4bush-2005.06.15-21.55.26.jpg

From CNN:

(CNN) -- A third-straight special election defeat in as many months left congressional Republicans reeling Wednesday, seriously concerned about what the November elections have in store for their party.

Democrat Travis Childers, left, beat Republican Greg Davis in a special election Tuesday in Mississippi.

House Minority Leader John Boehner, R-Ohio, called the defeat a "wakeup call."

"We have to show Americans that we can fix the problems here in Washington and fix the problems that they deal with every day," Boehner said.

Democrat Travis Childers defeated Republican Greg Davis on Tuesday in a Mississippi district that hasn't voted Democratic in more than 15 years, one where George W. Bush defeated John Kerry by 25 points in 2004.

It was a result that even Republicans admit is ominous sign of what could happen in the fall.

"This loss is going to prompt serious introspection by our conference to figure out what went wrong and how to fix it," a Republican leadership aide said. "We have time to do that, and we will if we learn our lessons leading into November. But the next couple of days are not going to be pretty. . .

The GOP was also desperately trying to avoid a third special-election defeat this year in districts that have long been held by Republicans. In March, Democrat Bill Foster won House Speaker Dennis Hastert's former Illinois seat, and two weeks ago Democrat Don Cazayoux won a Louisiana seat that hadn't voted for a Democrat since the 1970's.

The New York Times reports on the story as well here.

The Democrat's strategy in Mississippi was to associate the Republican candidate with racism. Allegedly he made a positive suggestion about moving a statute of a KKK founder into his city. It was successful and Davis lost.

White conservatism and being racist will become synonyms if Obama wins the Democrat's nomination. Any attack by Southern white Republicans will be interpreted as racist (just a hunch). Republicans are struggling to change their image because it seems that Americans are becoming more and more suspicious the white, conservative, Southern ethos. That Mississippi move was a low blow for sure.

Maybe Republicans will be palatable again by 2012 or 2016 if they can shake the image that they're all a bunch of white, Southern, Christian, right-wing racists. Or as Jeremiah Right would say, "Rich, white people!"

Posted by anthony at May 15, 2008 08:04 AM | TrackBack
Comments

America always has and always will, have as their leaders (or figure heads), exactly who she deserves.

Posted by: Paul at May 15, 2008 09:36 AM

Bro I am so ready for this election season to be over. I am a poor brown hispanic, and honestly I am sick of hearing from Clinton, Obama and McCain.
For me if Obama's record on abortion was different I would vote for him in a heart beat, if anything to show the world we are not a bunch of "rich. white, prosperity gospel, hillbillies", but also and more importantly because I really like everything else he represents and I do not trust McCain and am scared Hilary will eat my firstborn.
Oh the drama!

Los

Posted by: Carlos Griego at May 15, 2008 09:59 AM

"and am scared Hilary will eat my firstborn."

hahahaha.... thank you for verbalizing my worst fears as well... It's amazing that anyone could even vote for her. I get shivers whenever I see her sleazy fake smile on TV.

Posted by: Brad at May 15, 2008 10:22 AM

Obama will never win, but I think you would be right.

Posted by: Stork at May 15, 2008 11:10 AM

For reference, the claims made about the GOP candidate were true--about another man with a similar name not running for office. Given that the ad came out the day before the election, I dare suggest that someone putting the ad together knew that it was false. You don't "sit" on allegations like that if they're true--at least I sure wouldn't.

Yes, this race says a lot of things--about people willing to do anything to win.

Posted by: Bike Bubba at May 15, 2008 11:56 AM

Racism is not the exclusive domain of white southern Republicans. As evidence, Jeremiah Wright.

I do think the republicans are screwed, but only in part because of a racist "image problem". The war, foreign policy, the economy, crony-ism (Halliburton, Blackwater, Oil companies), etc...tough year to be a Republican candidate. Even their "guaranteed base", white evangelicals, are taking a second look.

I think that's why Hilary has fought as hard as she has to stay in the race...whoever wins the Democratic nomination is almost certain to win in November.

Posted by: Chas at May 15, 2008 12:05 PM

For the record, the Republican in that race ran a campaign trying to tie the Democrat to Obama, with the implication that he was an America-hating, terrorist-loving elitist.

So, as always, the sleaze goes both ways.

Posted by: Jordan at May 15, 2008 01:10 PM

"Jeremiah Right" . . . should we read anything into that Anthony? haha!

did you get my email?

Posted by: joel at May 15, 2008 03:22 PM

Chas great points... But Obama has no shot at winning vs. McCain. Not b/c McCain is better but b/c Obama is inexperienced and is Black. His wife is a loose cannon, he has the worst voting record in the senate. Nobody black or white wants a pres talking about race the nxt for years. He has alluded to speaking with tyrants, he is a double talker on the war, which by the way he will NOT pull the troops out, so dont believe him when he says he will, he is naive . To much Messiah worship by the left of him right now, which will start to drain the public at large. He is no centrist, he doesnt know how to compromise (being a pres is diff than being a senator). I could go on and on. My prediction is while it is heated he gets defeated handily by the centrist. America is not ready for a Black Pres, and nor should they if Obama would be that. I sure hope that Blacks in general dont fall for the "he's black" so I will vote for him syndrome. I wish Ant would run cause I could vote for a guy, who happens to be Black, for pres, rather than the other way around.

Posted by: Stork at May 15, 2008 03:46 PM

Stork, good stuff. If Obama picks a white male centrist VP candidate, he could do it. Gee, maybe that's why they made such a big deal of the Edwards endorsement yesterday? (okay, maybe he's not a centrist, but 2 out of 3...)

I think Hilary proved that a loose cannon first lady isn't an obvious detriment.

If Dr. Ant runs for Pres in 2012, I'll move to Chicago and vote twice :)

Posted by: Chas at May 15, 2008 05:43 PM

...intrade's/iowa electronic are around 60/40 (dem/repub)...that seems not as foregone as many are saying, though definitely striking.

slate political futures page. If you don't know about betting markets, it may behoove you to learn about them a bit. :) Much more informative than polls.

Posted by: shawn at May 15, 2008 08:42 PM

Cool! I guess that falls under the "put your money where you mouth is" category.

Posted by: Chas at May 15, 2008 09:24 PM

sigh.
mississippi.
even more reason to stir up holy mischief in the hometown. :)

Posted by: jc at May 16, 2008 12:03 AM

chas...you got it. gets rid of a lot of the noise, because people who don't know what's going on largely don't buy...and if enough of them somehow do and sway the odds to unreasonable levels, someone wo does know will drop a chunk of change to get the odds back to rational levels.

Posted by: shawn at May 16, 2008 06:46 AM

Stork, When has experience ever mattered in a Presidential candidate? If that were the case, incumbents would never lose and GWB would have never been elected.

Posted by: davidm. at May 16, 2008 12:35 PM

Lets see David... WHat were the past 4 presidents b4 they were president?
They had to lead... they had to compromise and they were all the ultimate leader...

exp is not a necessary condition. It is a desired one. I never said it was necessary. Plus your conclusion is faulty. You are equivocating exp as time, verses exp as wisdom or leadership. So more time does equal more exp but it doesn't necessarily equall more wisdom or leadership (my def of exp) .

So it has mattered in every election that has ever taken place if one uses my def of exp. Its not a guarantee that the exp will translate, but it should be factored in and given great importance. Thats all I was saying. ANd Obama doesnt seem to posses it lets say the way McCain posses it.

Posted by: Stork at May 16, 2008 04:30 PM

No one hires a CEO from lower mgmt.

Posted by: Stork at May 16, 2008 04:39 PM

No, I'm referring to both the time AND quality of said experience. Elections are by and large popularity contests - a measure of a candidate's ability to position him/herself in the best light to a majority of voters.

You're right though. No one hires a CEO from lower management. They typically pick the guy (or gal) whose name looks best on the letterhead.

Posted by: davidm. at May 16, 2008 05:13 PM

I think ur right dave, but you overstate the idea of the "popularity" contest. Its actually not that at all. I hear you that it has that feeling, but it simply isnt true.

Bush vs. Gore, Bush vs, Kerry? The majority of voters think Bush is cooler or better spoken or more intelligent or ... what? Why did they vote for him twice? All i know is that Bush 04 was not popular yet he increased his vote %wise (vs 02) in the voter categories of women, young people, blacks, and pacifists. WHy? B/c he was "popular"? Nahhhhh, its b/c Kerry was scary in his positions on Gay Marriage, the war, terrorism, patriotism, abortion, his flip flopping, taxes, war on the rich, views on social welfare... etc... On the other hand, Bush, whether u agreed or disagreed, at least you knew where he stood. SO maybe the increase in the voter % was do to an agreegment of similar principals vs "popularity". Popularity does play a role, but its simplistic to think that that is all or even largely what determines it.

Tell me this, concerning the CEO statement, what makes a name look good on the letterhead? How would one get a "popular" or important enough name to go on the letterhead?

You really need to understand business and the way businesses work. On the whole, it would be suicide for a CO to operate/hire a CEO that was simply a name.

Posted by: Stork at May 16, 2008 11:05 PM

Sometimes I think Republicans stink at political strategy. Seems the Democrats are always the first out of the gate with false accusations, associations to smear and cause people to doubt Republicans. www.nbra.info is working to change the perception of the Republican party among the black community. I learned of this lady and the site yesterday from www.nationalreview.com. I hope her work continues successfully.

Posted by: t.smith at May 20, 2008 10:19 AM
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